Starmer (44%) vs Farage (29%)
Starmer (36%) vs Badenoch (25%)
Starmer (27%) vs Davey (25%)
Davey (41%) vs Farage (27%)
Davey (33%) vs Badenoch (21%)
Badenoch (29%) vs Farage (25%)
For all the talk of a Reform surge, this has to strongly indicate that they’re near their peak. For a comparable datapoint from history, Labour held a polling lead from 2010 to mid 2015 over the Conservatives, but Milliband never out-polled Cameron on “best PM” questions, Cameron then of course went on to win the 2015 GE.
if you look at the data from the elections earlier this month, it seems like the real danger is that many labor voters have simply stopped voting
They’re not voting for other parties. They’ve simply stopped showing up to polls at all.
This is therefore the time for the Greens to capitalise and try and capture the apathetic by pushing for proportional representation. Unfortunately, the English Greens don’t seem to have the same competence as the Scottish Greens, so them actually managing to do so is slim :/
That’s how it played out in the US. More than 10 million less voters in '24 than '20. Political fatigue is insidious
Also, anyone extrapolating from current polling data to likely GE performance in 2029 is a fool.
And yet only 2% on Davey.
Farage is getting disturbingly high figures for someone who’s such an obvious grifter
It is deeply unsettling that anyone can look at him and see anything but a wrong 'un. All I can do is hope others are right that his support is hitting a plateau.
Starmer is bad.
But literally our best option.
after a splendid debut in US, the “lesser evil” had another successful launch in UK.
Compromise is part of living in a democracy. You never get who you think is perfect, you get who you’ll settle for. Anyone arguing differently is undermining democracy, either through malice or through stupidity. Possibly both.
Unfortunately. Americanism is starting to infect our culture here like a plague
I am jealous that only 25-30% of the UK seems to be criminally insane. We’re around 48-51% of voters here in the states.
Media leaving out Jeremy Corbyn as usual
Interesting set of data. The loser always gets around mid-20s but the winner move depending on the loser. So it was all about the “Don’t knows” making up their mind in certain conditions.
Makes me think the responses were:
- Starmer Vs Farage: Oh fuck, Starmer, no contest
- Starmer Vs Davey: Meh!
Another point, Farage lost to everyone else.
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