• thehatfox@lemmy.worldOP
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    2 days ago

    I think it’s uncertain for now. A majority of 6 votes is still a win but it’s also an incredibly unconfident win.

    Runcorn is supposed to be the kind of place Reform keep being tipped to sweep but even in a byelection they’ve only managed a win by a hair’s breadth.

    Reform seem to have a lot more work to do to win over voters to reliably take seats at a general election.

    Of course, there’s still 4+ plus years for Labour to lose more voters also.

    • Zip2@feddit.uk
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      2 days ago

      4 years for Labour to lose more voters, but hopefully four years for Reform to show off their incompetence and ruin any election chances, with any luck.

      • blackn1ght@feddit.uk
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        2 days ago

        Unfortunately I don’t think their incompetence puts people off. As long as they keep making a noise about immigration, people are going to vote for them.

        • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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          2 days ago

          As long as they keep making noises about immigration they’re going to continue to split the right-wing vote and draw Tories further to the right.

          What’ll end up happening is either they will do something mind-numbingly stupid which gets even their own supporters mad at them or they’ll just become the nasty party 2.0.

    • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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      2 days ago

      Reform have a big problem and that problem is that all of the undecided voters see them as basically extremists (to a greater or lesser extent), and Farage knows this which is why he is trying to distance himself from the likes Tommy Robson. The problem is that the party in general don’t seem to be behind that idea. They really like being unapologetically right-wing fanatics, especially Anderson who has probably worked out that if he fails here he’s finished in politics, and they really don’t care about anything else, even if it limits the growth of the party.