labour might win but it won’t be a landslide; people overlook the fact that a lot of people say one thing to pollsters and then vote another way in the polling booth.
it’ll either be a hung parliament or a slim majority.
and if labour does get into power, what happens then when all the tories that did vote for them go back to the tories now that they’re not in power and starmer purged all the labour voters from the party?
people overlook the fact that a lot of people say one thing to pollsters and then vote another way in the polling booth
Pollsters don’t overlook that, they specifically take it into account! If that was happening we’d be seeing it in actual election results (like the locals and the by-elections) or through discrepancies in other questions in the polls (like ‘Who you trust on the economy?’ Or ‘Who is the best leader?’).
It’s not true that Starmer has purged the Labour voters. The overwhelming majority of people who voted Labour in 2019 are still planning to vote Labour. Most of the 2019 Tory voters who Starmer has won back voted Labour in 2017 and before. Maybe they’ll stick with Labour, maybe not. Frankly, that’s a problem for the next election.
labour might win but it won’t be a landslide; people overlook the fact that a lot of people say one thing to pollsters and then vote another way in the polling booth.
it’ll either be a hung parliament or a slim majority.
and if labour does get into power, what happens then when all the tories that did vote for them go back to the tories now that they’re not in power and starmer purged all the labour voters from the party?
Pollsters don’t overlook that, they specifically take it into account! If that was happening we’d be seeing it in actual election results (like the locals and the by-elections) or through discrepancies in other questions in the polls (like ‘Who you trust on the economy?’ Or ‘Who is the best leader?’).
It’s not true that Starmer has purged the Labour voters. The overwhelming majority of people who voted Labour in 2019 are still planning to vote Labour. Most of the 2019 Tory voters who Starmer has won back voted Labour in 2017 and before. Maybe they’ll stick with Labour, maybe not. Frankly, that’s a problem for the next election.