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Cake day: June 27th, 2023

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  • It’s more like the 30% who always vote R will vote for whoever, the 30% who always vote D will vote for whoever. Kamala’s task is to get the 1-2% independents who always vote, yes, but also convince as many of the 40% who never bother showing up as possible to actually show up like some have started to in the last elections where reproductive healthcare/etc have been on the line. If she can motivate people for herself and simultaneously underscore that trump is an octogenarian with dreams of fascism and Project 2025 is what he would do, I think we’ll have a landslide. That’s a big if though.