Flâneur, dilettante, and aesthete. Interested in the three Fs: Fauna, Flora, Funga (especially the latter), history, maps, and food. I also make Origami cranes and play the occasional game of chess.

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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: May 28th, 2024

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  • ha! Yes you’re absolutely correct the blue = conservative/Tories (your Republican party) and red being Labour (the equivalent of your Democratic party). To be honest I think the UK/Europe’s colours for the left and right and seem more logical and traditional but I would say that 😉






  • The last time this happened was in 1906 when Arthur Balfour lost his seat in the Manchester East constituency during the Liberal landslide victory.

    Edit: Balfour resigned as PM in December in 1905 in an attempt to force an election. The Liberal Henry Campbell-Bannerman instead managed to form a government and thus was PM at the time of 1906 general election. I had forgotten Balfour resigned. So, yes if Sunak is unseated this will be a political first (for the UK at least).


  • You’re are quite right of course. Two main weaknesses of these opinions polls, regardless of the methodology are:

    1. the outcome is based on the moment the question was asked and;

    2. the complex reality of voter behaviour is simplified by assuming that the change in support for each party from one election to the next is the same across all constituencies. Which fails to take into consideration the following:

    Regional variations, new candidates and Issues and finally tactical voting.

    So yeah in a nutshell these polls are utterly meaningless but in the absence of a crystal ball something is better than nothing, despite the crude nature of the something.