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Cake day: June 6th, 2023

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  • You should differentiate between votes and seats, because FPTP. Some predictions say that RP can get more votes than LD, but even in the best case scenario with as many votes as possible they can only secure 4-5 seats tops. Tories on the other hand should have enough votes for second place, but in reality they have a very high chance of getting less seats than LD. There’s a potential that duopoly will shift to Labour + LD. But RP might become number 3 even with just 4 seats as they’re likely to consume Tories politically over the next few years.